The Mission condo market has turned around fast this year. Six months ago it was among the quietest markets we track. In June, seven out of ten condos sold above asking.
It is also still the most negotiable market of the neighborhoods we cover, which is an unusual combination worth explaining.
Data as of July 27, 2026, from the San Francisco MLS. This report covers June 2026. Some recent-month figures may still be updated as late sales are reported.
Worth a quick note, because "the Mission" means different things depending on who you ask.
The MLS divides the area into separate districts, and this report covers the one officially called the Inner Mission, District 9c. That is the core of the Mission District: roughly the area bounded by Highway 101, Dolores Street, and Cesar Chavez.
Neighboring Mission Dolores is its own MLS district, and we report on it separately. So if you are looking at a place west of Dolores Street, that report is the one you want.
A note on method before the numbers. The Inner Mission closes about seven condo sales in a typical month. That is enough to work with, but not so many that a single month is reliable on its own, so we lean on the three-month figures here. June was busier than usual with 11 sales.
The three-month median sale price is $1,100,000, up about 21% from the same period last year. That is a large jump, and the shape of it matters more than the number.
Back in February, the three-month median sat at $805,000, the lowest reading in our ten-year data. Four months later it is $1,100,000. That is a sharp recovery from a genuine low, not a market grinding steadily upward.
Even after that run, prices here are well below where they peaked. The three-month median topped out at $1,432,000 in March 2022. Today's figure is roughly 23% under that. The Mission has recovered a lot of ground this year and still has a good deal of ground to recover.
Competition moved even faster than price. In February, 13% of Mission condos were selling above asking. Over the past three months that figure is 69.6%. The typical sale closed at about 114% of its original list price, up from 98% a year ago, meaning sellers went from accepting less than their first asking price to clearing it comfortably.
Homes are moving quicker too. The median condo went under contract in 21 days over the past three months, down from 39 days a year ago.
Buyers are showing up in numbers. Seventeen condos went into contract in June, the most in any month since 2022. Pending means the seller accepted an offer. Closed means the sale finished, and closings usually lag pendings by about a month because of escrow, so June's pendings should land in the July and August closed figures.
Here is the part that makes the Mission different right now. Months supply is 2.8 on a three-month basis. Months supply estimates how long it would take to sell everything currently on the market at the current pace of sales, and lower means a tighter, more competitive market.
For comparison, the same measure in June was 0.5 in Bernal Heights, 1.1 for Pacific Heights condos, 1.2 for Noe Valley condos, and 1.6 in Mission Dolores. At 2.8, the Mission has meaningfully more inventory relative to demand.
So both things are true at once. Competition has picked up sharply, and there is still more to choose from here than in the neighborhoods just uphill. For a buyer who has been outbid repeatedly elsewhere, that combination is worth paying attention to.
Part of what keeps supply up is that sellers have been listing. New condo listings averaged about 14 per month over the past three months, up 39% from last year. Inventory has still come down, because buyers are absorbing those listings faster than they arrive, but the Mission is not short of sellers the way other neighborhoods are.
| Metric | June 2026 | 3-month | vs. year ago* |
|---|---|---|---|
| New listings | 12 | 14.3 avg | +39% |
| Active listings | 12 | 20.3 avg | −29% |
| Pending sales | 17 | 11.7 avg | +40% |
| Closed sales | 11 | 7.7 avg | −4% |
| Median sale price (11 closed sales) | $1,068,000 | $1,100,000 | +21% |
| % sold over list | 63.6% | 69.6% | +32.1 pts |
| % of original price | 117.7% | 114.1% | +15.7 pts |
| Days on market | 22 | 21 | −18 days |
| Months supply | 1.5 | 2.8 | −30% |
A couple of the terms above, briefly. % sold over list is the share of homes that sold above their asking price. % of original price compares the final sale price to the very first asking price, so it also captures any price cuts along the way. Days on market is how long a typical listing took to go from hitting the market to accepting an offer.
And the median, since we use it throughout: it is the middle value. Half the sales were above it, half below. We use it instead of the average because one very expensive or very cheap sale can't throw it off.
The Inner Mission is primarily a condominium market, and single-family homes here are uncommon. Only about two dozen sell in a typical year, which is too small a sample to build monthly statistics we would trust. So this report covers condos.
We do sell single-family homes in the Mission, and there are some wonderful ones. If you own one or have your eye on one, get in touch and we will pull the real numbers for your block.
Market data is useful. We genuinely enjoy this stuff. But it is one part of a much bigger picture, and it only goes so far.
Perfectly timing the market is something that really only happens in hindsight. What matters far more is your own situation: where you are in your life, what you are trying to do next, and what your options actually look like right now.
The Mission is a good example of why the neighborhood number only gets you so far. Condo buildings here vary enormously, from converted Victorians to new construction to live-work lofts, and they do not all behave the same way in a recovery. A median across all of them tells you the direction, not your number.
If you own here and have been waiting for the market to come back before selling, this year has changed the math considerably. If you are buying, you still have more room here than in most of the city, though less than you had in February. Either way, the specifics of your building matter more than the chart.
That is the work we do with buyers and sellers every day, and it is why we would rather talk with you about your specifics than hand you a chart and wish you luck.
If you are curious what all this means for you, get in touch and we'll talk it through. You can also read more about how we work with buyers, how we work with sellers, or the Inner Mission and the other San Francisco neighborhoods we cover. If you'd like to hear how this goes from people who have been through it with us, our client testimonials are worth a few minutes.
And if you have already done your research and think you would like to work together, the fastest way to start is to fill one of these out:
We would love to hear from you. You can also meet the team if you'd like to know who you'd be working with.
Mission District market report by Danielle Lazier - Vivre Real Estate, top San Francisco Realtors serving the Mission and the wider Bay Area since 2002. Data covers the Inner Mission MLS district (9c). Data from SFARMLS. InfoSparks © 2026 ShowingTime Plus, LLC. Danielle Lazier, DRE #01340326.
