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UCLA Forecast Says Housing Crisis to Ease, No Recession in 2008

March 13, 2008

ANDERSON FORECAST SAYS HOUSING CRISIS TO EASE, NO RECESSION IN 2008

The housing market woes are expected to begin easing up by late 2008 and, despite mounting job losses and fuel and food cost increases, the country will avoid a full recession, according to the UCLA Anderson Forecast report released Tuesday.

“Our no-recession forecast remains nervously intact,” said UCLA Anderson Forecast Director Edward Leamer. “We see a lot of problems in the first half of 2008 as housing remains a drag on GDP growth and weakness in personal consumption contributes as well. We expect one quarter of negative GDP growth. The Fed continues to dish out good news for Wall Street with ever lower interest rates. The labor market is sluggish and unemployment elevates to 5.5 percent by the end of 2008. But the housing drag on GDP dissipates in the second half of the year and a normal economy returns in 2009.”

Click HERE for the full data from UCLA Anderson School of Management!

If you are financially ready to buy a home or a rental property and have been waiting for prices to drop or drop further, especially for San Francisco real estate, you may want to reconsider. Our strong belief is that those of you who buy in 2008 will be very happy campers in the short, medium and long-term.

More information on San Francisco real estate and the homebuying process can be found HERE.

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